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25€ 5max sng A9o overcall in bubble?

Discussion in 'Hand analysis' started by Ghaleon, Apr 9, 2018.

  1. Ghaleon

    Ghaleon Well-Known Member
    Poker Coach

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    What do you think of this spot in general? Are you thinking of overcall or snap fold? Structure is 65/35.

    SB is reggy and decently aggro so he is shoving pretty wide range. Likes to abuse bubble maybe bit too mych overall.

    5maxsng.png
     
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  2. Neo1186

    Neo1186 Well-Known Member

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    Interesting hand. My initial thought was "clear overcall, why even ask" but looking at it with hrc:

    [​IMG]

    So first observation is that range is much tighter than I thought. Didn't at first understand why and what the main reason is with icm here.

    So then I thought to change our stacksize and make us 1k chips shorter (and give the chips to chipleader to keep same chipcount in STT):
    [​IMG]

    Now the changed chip situation also affects ranges, so while I still think it is interesting to look at that (for real world play) I still want to know what difference our stacksize alone makes in a vaccum, so I did a third calculation and copy pasted all the ranges from original calculation (including collision ranges after BU folds):
    [​IMG]

    Now we can still think about how much BU jams and SB overjams in real world to get a better idea of our final overcalling range, but the important thing for me at least is that our stacksize seems to be the big problem here and we need to be in really good shape vs SB overjam range to make up for the huge equity loss when BU survives allin and we lose all our equity in the tournament.
     

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